Archive for the ‘Saudis Getting Nukes’ Category

Saudis Arrange to Receive 1-2 Pakistani Nukes

Posted by Richard Radcliffe on December 30th, 2010

Debka is reporting that the Saudis have made arrangements to take possession of two Pakistani nuclear weapons either two bombs or two missile warheads.

With an eye on the nuclear arms race led by its neighbor Iran, Saudi Arabia has arranged to have available for its use two Pakistani nuclear bombs or guided missile warheads, Debkafile’s military and intelligence sources reveal. They are most probably held in Pakistan’s nuclear air base at Kamra in the northern district of Attock. Pakistan has already sent the desert kingdom its latest version of the Ghauri-II missile after extending its range to 2,300 kilometers. Those missiles are tucked away in silos built in the underground city of Al-Sulaiyil, south of the capital Riyadh.

Please read the entire article for more important information.

Analysis. It has been rumored for quite some time  that the Saudis helped to finance the Pakistani nuclear weapons program in return for some number of weapons when requested. This article pretty much confirms that rumor. This is also a deliberate leak by the Saudis and a challenge. The Iranians now know that the Saudis can independently nuke them. The challenge is to the United States et. al. to remove the reason that the Saudis might resort to nuclear weapons. Simply put, either the United States, Israel or both in some combination with the Gulf Cooperation Council states destroys Iran’s nuclear capability or the Saudis may start a nuclear war. Since the Iranians probably already knew of the arrangement, this “leak” is more likely designed to push others to action.

At the same time, this Saudi move can take a lot of pressure off Israel to act. What is unknown are the conditions under which the Saudis will use their nukes. We can presume that an attack by Iran directly on the Saudis would trigger nuclear retaliation. Whether this applies to the other GCC states is unknown but I would presume it does. What other circumstances might lead to the Saudis nuking Iran we can only guess. Now that the Saudi’s access to nuclear weapons has been confirmed, the balance of power in the Middle East has effectively changed. All the nations will adjust their positions vis-a-vis Iran accordingly.